Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.005617 0.006199 0.006799 0.007465 0.008182 0.008928 0.009765
2025-02-09 0.004664 0.005492 0.006389 0.007432 0.008605 0.009880 0.011367
2025-02-16 0.004188 0.005166 0.006265 0.007583 0.009112 0.010822 0.012867
2025-02-23 0.003712 0.004772 0.006000 0.007515 0.009317 0.011381 0.013905
2025-03-02 0.003371 0.004496 0.005835 0.007526 0.009585 0.011988 0.014983
2025-03-09 0.003206 0.004413 0.005882 0.007777 0.010127 0.012916 0.016444
2025-03-16 0.002988 0.004242 0.005804 0.007858 0.010451 0.013576 0.017585
2025-03-23 0.002826 0.004128 0.005783 0.007999 0.010841 0.014314 0.018826
2025-03-30 0.002689 0.004035 0.005779 0.008154 0.011244 0.015069 0.020094
2025-04-06 0.002448 0.003785 0.005554 0.008007 0.011248 0.015316 0.020725
2025-04-13 0.002289 0.003636 0.005453 0.008013 0.011444 0.015801 0.021656
2025-04-20 0.002098 0.003428 0.005260 0.007883 0.011450 0.016036 0.022266
2025-04-27 0.001945 0.003272 0.005136 0.007849 0.011593 0.016463 0.023149
2025-05-04 0.001802 0.003122 0.005012 0.007810 0.011724 0.016877 0.024024
2025-05-11 0.001732 0.003074 0.005031 0.007967 0.012124 0.017650 0.025377
2025-05-18 0.001601 0.002926 0.004894 0.007896 0.012202 0.017988 0.026157
2025-05-25 0.001505 0.002824 0.004820 0.007908 0.012392 0.018477 0.027142
2025-06-01 0.001480 0.002835 0.004915 0.008169 0.012938 0.019459 0.028804
2025-06-08 0.001412 0.002772 0.004892 0.008253 0.013231 0.020095 0.030004
2025-06-15 0.001364 0.002738 0.004912 0.008400 0.013613 0.020859 0.031388
2025-06-22 0.001322 0.002711 0.004943 0.008561 0.014019 0.021660 0.032832
2025-06-29 0.001215 0.002564 0.004773 0.008407 0.013957 0.021801 0.033360
2025-07-06 0.001148 0.002484 0.004708 0.008414 0.014129 0.022272 0.034353